Arid-Deviance
0xdddff09786c203b27a99a95e0ab3d040a37ed97a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-483.34
Realised
$-16.91
Win rate
0%
96 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
67 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
60 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
47 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
40 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - August 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
34 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
30 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
28 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
27 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.61
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$23.36Aug 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$17.33Aug 18, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Aug 18, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$0.00Aug 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$20.46Aug 18, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$5.16Aug 18, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$0.00Aug 18, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$10.67Aug 18, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$0.00Aug 18, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$0.00Aug 18, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$7.20Aug 18, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$2.10Aug 18, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$2.08Aug 18, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$1.06Aug 18, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Aug 18, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$13.71Aug 18, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$10.21Aug 18, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.06Aug 18, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.05Aug 18, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$5.36Aug 18, 03:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
66/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 96 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
96 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 20:43 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 04:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 96 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.