Clumsy-Border
0xdde4b8ab4c0f52eb69d8506fab801035521e8773
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
80883 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-166.05
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
78710 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
10700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.70
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
10273 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-113.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
6222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
442 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-97.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7AM ET
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - August 14, 5PM ET
306 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - August 14, 3PM ET
217 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2025$0.00
$-153.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7AM ET
214 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$97.00Dec 7, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$113.00Nov 30, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$56.00Oct 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$10.70Oct 1, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown by October 1?$10.12Oct 1, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$344.00Sep 29, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$92.00Sep 16, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$91.74Sep 16, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$115.00Sep 15, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$153.10Sep 14, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$1000.00Sep 14, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$13.00Sep 9, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$12.92Sep 9, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$13.00Sep 9, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2025-09-09?$13.14Sep 9, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2025-09-09?$66.00Sep 9, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$65.33Sep 9, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$413.00Sep 9, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$299.00Sep 8, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$98.00Sep 7, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $183.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 27, 20:16 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 7, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".