Scary-Premise
0xdde9d42649f6e294738d9644e4e6fb9914236bbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-159.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
200 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
180 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-74.10
- YES
Will Trump's UN speech be between 40 and 45 minutes?
150 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-31.50
- YES
Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
50 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.20
- YES
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
25 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$9.50Oct 12, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chuck Schumer endorse Mamdani?$1.01Oct 12, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$8.48Oct 12, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.27Oct 12, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on September 26?$0.00Oct 12, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Yemen 3 times by September 30?$0.00Oct 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$9.73Sep 28, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?$8.25Sep 28, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chuck Schumer endorse Mamdani?$1.00Sep 28, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$11.10Sep 28, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$7.00Sep 28, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$25.20Sep 28, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on September 26?$5.00Sep 26, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen 3 times by September 30?$7.47Sep 26, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$0.02Sep 26, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$12.43Sep 26, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's UN speech be between 40 and 45 minutes?$31.50Sep 22, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$7.14Sep 21, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa drop out?$22.00Sep 21, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$13.44Sep 21, 01:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $11.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 21, 01:28 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 12, 23:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".