0xddebeae7474e1c43a2a85f0cf4d3c37abbf76761
0xddebeae7474e1c43a2a85f0cf4d3c37abbf76761
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
127
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-2.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?
40000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 5?
4026 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 5?
3948 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.90
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
37 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-19.69
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
32 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-19.72
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$0.04Mar 6, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.04Mar 6, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 5?$4.84Mar 5, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on March 6?$7.67Mar 5, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on March 6?$1.19Mar 5, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 5?$8.19Mar 5, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?$3.21Mar 5, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 5?$0.09Mar 5, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?$3.55Mar 5, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 5?$0.76Mar 5, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 5?$6.99Mar 5, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?$0.00Mar 5, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?$0.64Mar 5, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?$0.04Mar 5, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?$9.36Mar 5, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 5?$2.26Mar 5, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?$3.59Mar 5, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on March 6?$1.53Mar 5, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on March 6?$9.28Mar 5, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 5?$7.90Mar 5, 21:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 05:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 20:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.