Wallet digest

active

Activity score

65/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$45.86

Total PnL

$-39.80

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 25

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
9 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026
$8.75
$4.81
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
9 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026
$8.56
$4.62
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
8 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026
$8.04
$4.10
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
8 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026
$7.57
$3.63
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
7 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026
$7.03
$3.10
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026
$5.91
$2.95
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026
$0.00
$-4.92
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
9 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026
$0.00
$-3.94
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026
$0.00
$-4.92
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
9 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026
$0.00
$-3.94

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.00Jan 12, 12:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$0.00Jan 12, 12:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$0.00Jan 12, 12:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.00Jan 12, 12:37 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.00Jan 12, 12:37 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.00Jan 12, 12:37 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$7.16Jan 12, 12:36 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$7.29Jan 12, 12:36 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$0.00Jan 12, 02:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$4.00Jan 12, 02:15 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$7.57Jan 12, 02:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$4.00Jan 12, 02:00 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Jan 12, 01:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$4.00Jan 12, 01:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$8.38Jan 12, 01:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$4.00Jan 12, 01:30 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Jan 12, 01:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$4.00Jan 12, 01:15 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.00Jan 12, 01:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$4.00Jan 12, 01:00 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity34 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk50 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 22
Avg trade size: $4.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 11, 20:46 UTC
Last active: Jan 12, 12:40 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:10:04 UTC·src:Polymarket Data