Impish-Supporter
0xddfa958d8f1d96574d9fbfe065cfe540986e7778
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 27-Jan 3?
1253 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3?
789 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$0.00
$-260.00
- NO
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
533 shares @ 75.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
Playboi Carti's "MUSIC" debuts at #1 on Billboard 200?
427 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
358 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
244 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$6.44Jul 21, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$104.99Jul 21, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$104.69Jul 21, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$101.60Jul 21, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$104.62Jul 21, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$26.35Jul 21, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$28.93Jul 21, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$26.47Jul 21, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$208.01Jul 21, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$100.70Jul 21, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$100.70Jul 21, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$102.95Jul 19, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$820.09Jul 15, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$52.23Jul 15, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$103.60Jul 15, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$2.77Jul 7, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$50.97Jul 7, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in June?$0.00Jul 7, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in June?$0.00Jul 7, 16:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $170.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 20:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.