Wallet digest

active

Activity score

62/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-289.56

Realised

$7.00

Win rate

80%

5 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 38

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 4PM ET
1373 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-9.97
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
63 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-19.78
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
52 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026
$0.00
$-9.94
YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 19?
41 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026
$0.00
$-13.58
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-9.90
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-9.89
YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on March 2?
31 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 29?$1.24Apr 27, 23:44 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 29?$2.00Apr 27, 20:20 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 28?$2.00Apr 27, 19:06 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?$0.01Apr 27, 19:04 UTC
TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?$25.77Mar 5, 05:56 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 5?$2.00Mar 4, 06:22 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?$2.00Mar 3, 19:38 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?$2.00Mar 3, 19:36 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?$2.00Mar 3, 19:34 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?$2.00Mar 3, 19:32 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?$0.48Mar 3, 19:30 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?$2.00Mar 3, 13:20 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?$2.00Mar 3, 13:14 UTC
TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?$1.92Mar 3, 12:00 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?$2.00Mar 3, 11:36 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 3?$2.00Mar 1, 14:34 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 3?$2.00Mar 1, 14:32 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on March 2?$2.00Feb 28, 20:06 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on March 2?$2.00Feb 28, 20:04 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on March 2?$2.00Feb 28, 20:02 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence17 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry61 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk45 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 42
Avg trade size: $2.86
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 20, 17:10 UTC
Last active: Apr 27, 23:44 UTC
Win rate sample: 5 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 15:50:28 UTC·src:Polymarket Data