0xde13c41b821d4745801fa418d05c3b97223a72df
0xde13c41b821d4745801fa418d05c3b97223a72df
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$195.32
Total PnL
$-61.36
Realised
$13.68
Win rate
84%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- OVER
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5
32 shares @ 15.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$32.15
$27.29
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
15 shares @ 69.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$14.59
$4.39
- LAKERS
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)
10 shares @ 73.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.09
$2.65
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$9.99
$4.80
- OVER
Maple Leafs vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
10 shares @ 73.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.70
$2.58
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
6 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.24
$0.50
- OVER
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.56
$4.56
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$5.00
$2.70
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$5.00
$2.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$5.00
$2.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$2.60Apr 23, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$2.60Apr 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.51Apr 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.08Apr 23, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$1.20Apr 22, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.50Apr 19, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$2.60Apr 19, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.90Apr 18, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$2.90Apr 18, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$2.40Apr 18, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$2.50Apr 18, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$2.50Apr 18, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.55Apr 17, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.05Apr 17, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$2.35Apr 17, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$4.95Apr 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$3.00Apr 17, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$2.65Apr 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$0.15Apr 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$4.95Apr 17, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
84% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.