Dependable-Bonsai
0xde15454846d433c42451c8f20d86025dd61a4e85
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-639.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
2072 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1060 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-49.95
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?
921 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.27
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
562 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.62
- NO
Will Russia enter Toretske by February 28?
480 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
427 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-39.92
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
300 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-41.36
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$66.00Mar 10, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$10.05Mar 10, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$13.02Mar 10, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$22.35Mar 10, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$11.00Mar 10, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$32.84Mar 10, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$29.42Mar 10, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$6.03Mar 10, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 13?$20.38Mar 10, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$10.00Mar 9, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$10.00Mar 9, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$22.00Mar 9, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$16.00Mar 8, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$10.00Mar 8, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$9.00Mar 8, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$10.00Mar 1, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$10.00Mar 1, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$50.00Mar 1, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$150.00Feb 28, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Feb 10, 13:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $20.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 14:32 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 07:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.