Guilty-Matrix
0xde164577fa7c5647c4d1fd0b6ca2a35bfd4b0abe
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
734 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 24, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.50Oct 24, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET$0.00Oct 23, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET$1.00Oct 23, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - October 23, 2PM ET$0.00Oct 23, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 23, 2PM ET$0.00Oct 23, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?$1.00Oct 23, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?$1.00Oct 23, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 23, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET$1.00Oct 23, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - October 23, 2PM ET$1.00Oct 23, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 23, 2PM ET$1.00Oct 23, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Oct 23, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 23, 19:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $0.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 19:47 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 24, 10:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.