Cultivated-Strawman
0xde165de884c8bb28c2fa45f009b3c36b06f498e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$177.82
Total PnL
$0.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
30 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$30.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$30.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$30.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$30.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
20 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$20.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$20.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
17 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$17.35
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Eurovision 2026?$17.26Feb 22, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win Eurovision 2026?$20.00Feb 22, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Marino win Eurovision 2026?$30.00Feb 22, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$30.00Feb 22, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$30.00Feb 22, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$20.00Feb 22, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$30.00Feb 22, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$20.02Feb 22, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close at <$300 in 2025?$20.02Feb 22, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMGTA VI released in 2025?$20.06Feb 22, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$20.14Feb 22, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$20.22Feb 22, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$20.24Feb 22, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$20.47Feb 22, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$36.08Feb 22, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$20.43Dec 7, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released in 2025?$20.00Dec 7, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$20.00Dec 7, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$20.00Dec 7, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$20.00Dec 7, 12:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $39.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 14:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".