Loving-Batting
0xde192e40e11c1835c156587e116dd574a64d9020
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-226.63
Realised
$-1.23
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
110 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
60 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-29.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.02Jul 30, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.02Jul 30, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.16Jul 30, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.23Jul 30, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.25Jul 30, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.01Jul 30, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.01Jul 30, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.01Jul 30, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$11.70Jul 30, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.01Jul 30, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$3.03Jul 30, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.30Jul 30, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$3.01Jul 30, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$3.04Jul 30, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.02Jul 30, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 14:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 14:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 14:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.