Improbable-Expansionism
0xde1991303f4fd3cfbf2dc6c4b5456bf13a9c5948
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-446.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
UFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by submission?
1182 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
UFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by decision?
506 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-74.00
- YES
UFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by KO/TKO/DQ?
438 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- MIOCIC
Jones vs. Miocic
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2024$0.00
$-50.05
- DU PLESSIS
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
206 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Manchester City beat Inter Milan?
81 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Manchester City beat Arsenal?
47 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2024$0.00
$-27.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by KO/TKO/DQ?$70.00Aug 16, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by submission?$100.00Aug 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by decision? $74.00Aug 13, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev$70.00Aug 13, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYJones vs. Miocic$50.05Nov 16, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$501.05Nov 8, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City beat Arsenal?$27.60Sep 22, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$47.20Sep 22, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City beat Inter Milan?$55.00Sep 18, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$95.40Sep 18, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$269.48Aug 22, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$173.82Jul 26, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $93.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 21:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".