Fatal-Manifestation
0xde1b429068970023f6c73d39ff7314548421f94f
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$512.65
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
516 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$512.65
$1.29
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
5638 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 17, 12PM ET
1211 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-605.50
- OVER
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- OVER
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.16
- UNDER
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5
9 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- OVER
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
9 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.31
- UNDER
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
- OVER
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5
8 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.24
- OVER
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5
8 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5$2.65Jun 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5$0.62Jun 13, 09:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5$3.89Jun 11, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5$1.29Jun 11, 10:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-4.5)$0.12Jun 9, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5$8.10Jun 9, 03:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5$5.38Jun 8, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5$0.29Jun 8, 08:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5$3.64Jun 3, 08:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.