Magnificent-Buffalo
0xde24b8e9af6e4db9bde864209a28be63e49cd3f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$209.82
Total PnL
$6.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 22?
37 shares @ 92.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$36.98
$2.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 22?
18 shares @ 91.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$17.93
$1.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 22?
15 shares @ 63.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$14.93
$5.39
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?
17 shares @ 86.3¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$14.66
$-0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 20?
12 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.93
$0.74
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 22?
12 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$11.82
$0.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 22?
12 shares @ 77.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$11.53
$2.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 23?
13 shares @ 70.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$11.40
$2.51
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 22?
11 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$10.77
$2.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 17?
7 shares @ 66.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$7.19
$2.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 24?$1.71Jul 22, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?$2.36Jul 22, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 24?$1.32Jul 22, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 24?$4.78Jul 22, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 22?$11.88Jul 22, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 23?$7.17Jul 22, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 22?$5.81Jul 22, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 24?$2.24Jul 22, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 22, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 22?$3.55Jul 22, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 30°C on July 23?$1.04Jul 22, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 24?$1.19Jul 22, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?$8.19Jul 22, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 22?$2.50Jul 22, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on July 21?$12.60Jul 22, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?$1.02Jul 22, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?$1.28Jul 22, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 24?$1.37Jul 22, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 22?$1.76Jul 22, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 23?$6.37Jul 22, 04:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 17:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.