Loathsome-Logistics
0xde2cde724fae0bb9bbdec6d48878d4cd28ba5f76
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$9.96
Total PnL
$-138.48
Realised
$-1.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 89.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.96
$8.96
- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in September?
283 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
279 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
132 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
127 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Spain vs. Belgium: Neither team to score first?$4.99Jul 10, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?$9.99Jul 10, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals AND Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Lionel Messi: 1+ goals$4.99Jul 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 AND Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$5.00Jul 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?$5.00Jul 10, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$5.19Jul 10, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$5.14Jul 8, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$5.14Jul 8, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$16.39Jul 7, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMLionel Messi: 1+ goals$17.54Jul 7, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$10.12Jul 7, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance$20.24Jul 7, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$1.03Jul 7, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$10.64Jul 7, 17:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$17.14Jul 7, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$10.13Jul 7, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaissem Hassan: 1+ goals$2.06Jul 7, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance AND Will France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?$2.00Jul 7, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?$2.06Jul 7, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?$2.05Jul 7, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 23:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 14:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.