Fickle-Birth
0xde491405d096a9c13e3396ef5aa9dde5f0cca133
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-53.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 52 million views on day 2?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
313 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
277 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?
39 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4?$5.20Jun 3, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?$25.27Jun 3, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$1.65Feb 10, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$12.00Feb 10, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$5.00Feb 9, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 52 million views on day 2?$5.00Feb 9, 13:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $9.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 19:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".