Rash-Backburn
0xde49731def67413746bf7d54b36fff080760ad50
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.8K
Realised
$2.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
1048 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
981 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
700 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-323.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
561 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-251.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
505 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
391 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
354 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-116.85
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
302 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-167.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$3.03Jul 21, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.82Jul 21, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.05Jul 21, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.03Jul 21, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.89Jul 21, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.03Jul 21, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$2.22Jul 21, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.04Jul 21, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.06Jul 21, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.04Jul 21, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.04Jul 21, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.61Jul 21, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.03Jul 21, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.08Jul 21, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.03Jul 21, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.04Jul 21, 20:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 21:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.