Hopeful-Dancing
0xde4bf8661e911af45927e215ee2f8f9fe40d519f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-202.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?
250 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 2?
219 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Government shutdown on Saturday?
213 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 16?
148 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.31
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 16?
70 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-19.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.77
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
24 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 16?$70.51Mar 18, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 16?$49.30Mar 14, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 16?$14.91Mar 14, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 16?$19.88Mar 14, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 16?$1.65Mar 14, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$9.65Mar 14, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 2?$20.00Mar 2, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$0.75Mar 2, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.02Mar 2, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$39.85Mar 2, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$50.00Mar 1, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.00Mar 1, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$19.15Feb 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$15.00Feb 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?$15.00Feb 13, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$40.00Feb 13, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$15.56Feb 13, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinez$29.27Feb 13, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Pedro Martinez$12.00Feb 12, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$18.00Feb 9, 10:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $16.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 20:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".