Enormous-Sequel
0xde6b6383b80206151b95762db029f76159d6bd36
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$57.09
Total PnL
$-95.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
15 shares @ 93.1¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
12 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$12.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
12 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$12.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
11 shares @ 94.2¢·now 75.9¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$8.06
$-1.94
- NO
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 15-21?
87 shares @ 57.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
10 shares @ 94.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
8 shares @ 79.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?$14.07Jul 2, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$10.03Jul 2, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$12.01Jul 2, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$10.02Jul 2, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$12.02Jul 2, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026?$7.37Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.85Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.21Jun 29, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.38Jun 27, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.36Jun 26, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by October 31, 2026?$10.31Jun 22, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by October 31, 2026?$10.01Jun 21, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.01Jun 21, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.04Jun 21, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$12.24Jun 19, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$12.50Jun 19, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$10.20Jun 17, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$10.23Jun 16, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$12.90Jun 15, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$12.04Jun 12, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $9.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 06:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.