Defiant-Milepost
0xde6f7f277a5f3ccf52c81ee3c84a245c0e30fc91
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$279.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Dorian Nakamoto as Satoshi?
9381 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-74.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
6804 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-408.24
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?
3500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?
2951 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-598.48
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?
2874 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?
2500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Gavin Wood as Satoshi?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 23?
2322 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-406.25
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?
2160 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-63.83
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 9?
2043 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-315.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 23?$172.00Apr 22, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 23?$16.80Apr 22, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15?$362.70Apr 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?$208.30Apr 13, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?$0.70Apr 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17?$15.35Apr 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?$210.00Apr 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?$0.27Apr 13, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?$5.11Apr 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?$196.43Apr 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14?$99.89Apr 13, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 15?$100.00Apr 13, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 25?$126.27Mar 19, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 24?$120.00Mar 19, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 23?$268.20Mar 19, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 23?$1.77Mar 19, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 25?$110.00Mar 19, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 25?$1.04Mar 19, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 25?$5.25Mar 19, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 24?$0.16Mar 19, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $86.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 09:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 21:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".