Wallet digest

active

Activity score

78/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$142.28

Total PnL

$-39.65

Realised

$7.54

Win rate

67%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 15

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
100 shares @ 65.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026
$99.84
$34.27
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
15 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026
$14.77
$7.24
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026
$9.86
$5.91
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
8 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026
$7.88
$3.47
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026
$5.00
$2.60
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026
$4.93
$3.11
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
252 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026
$0.00
$-61.96
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
40 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026
$0.00
$-13.04
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
37 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026
$0.00
$-14.98
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026
$0.00
$-4.80

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$2.40Mar 16, 12:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$2.40Mar 16, 12:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.85Mar 16, 07:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$2.18Mar 16, 07:48 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$2.32Mar 15, 11:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$2.48Mar 15, 11:21 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$2.75Mar 15, 11:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.26Mar 15, 11:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$0.33Mar 15, 11:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$0.72Mar 15, 11:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.92Mar 15, 11:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$4.48Mar 15, 10:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.10Mar 15, 09:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.08Mar 15, 09:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.32Mar 15, 09:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.58Mar 15, 09:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.02Mar 15, 09:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.70Mar 15, 09:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.30Mar 15, 09:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.70Mar 15, 09:49 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry80 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk62 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $2.46
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 15, 09:48 UTC
Last active: Mar 16, 12:52 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 20:49:40 UTC·src:Polymarket Data