Enchanted-Karate
0xde8062968db0e8e7e5ac8edbd530e3a5341781a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$52.08
Total PnL
$-587.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
52 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$52.08
$27.08
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
24380 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-48.76
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
12500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross more than $415m by April 30?
1817 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-39.99
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross less than $370m by April 30?
1651 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?
570 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-70.57
- YES
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
553 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?
534 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US defaults on debt in 2025?
414 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Fed abolished in 2025?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$25.00Oct 21, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.00Oct 21, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced by October 31?$5.00Oct 21, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$2.00Oct 21, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3500 and $3600 at the end of 2025?$2.00Oct 21, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3400 and $3500 at the end of 2025?$2.00Oct 21, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?$2.00Oct 21, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3300 and $3400 at the end of 2025?$2.00Oct 21, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMKlarna IPO in 2025?$41.67Oct 21, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$48.76Jun 18, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$150.00Jun 18, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?$20.57Apr 22, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?$5.00Apr 22, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?$5.00Apr 22, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?$10.00Apr 22, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' gross between $400-415m by April 30?$10.00Apr 22, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed abolished in 2025?$20.00Apr 21, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS defaults on debt in 2025?$25.00Apr 21, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina bans US films in April?$5.00Apr 21, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$43.00Apr 21, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $20.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 18:54 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 21, 14:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.