Next-Stage
0xde81ab92e4036f42906a882fb424f081b6519415
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.31Nov 13, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$8.25Aug 12, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?$1.48May 14, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?$2.32May 13, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?$2.23Mar 10, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.73Mar 10, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$2.16Mar 7, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marcel Ciolacu win the Romanian presidential election?$1.70Mar 7, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcel Ciolacu win the Romanian presidential election?$2.66Mar 6, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Armenia win Eurovision 2025?$1.91Mar 6, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Armenia win Eurovision 2025?$2.39Mar 5, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FDP be part of the next German government?$0.90Mar 5, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FDP be part of the next German government?$2.24Mar 4, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?$0.53Mar 4, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?$3.14Mar 3, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$2.15Mar 3, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$2.73Feb 28, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference?$1.13Feb 28, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference?$1.50Feb 21, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?$0.90Feb 21, 13:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 12:36 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 15:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.