Hard-Cenotaph
0xde82d2add71568ef39cf23956eb78b62f94392bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$147.09
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
132 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$131.58
$81.58
- GNG AMAZIGH
Valorant: GnG Amazigh vs Vibranium Esports (BO3)
11 shares @ 9.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$10.50
$9.50
- YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2423 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.63
$-246.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$1.37
$0.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2270 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
1441 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?
1338 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
1147 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-61.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$251.95Jan 6, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$13.54Jan 6, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.44Jan 6, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.30Jan 6, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$4.50Jan 6, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.40Jan 6, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$2.77Jan 6, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.28Jan 6, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$2.35Jan 6, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$4.26Jan 6, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.34Jan 6, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$4.60Jan 6, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.89Jan 6, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.74Jan 6, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$2.95Jan 6, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$4.80Jan 6, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.30Jan 6, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.66Jan 6, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$4.64Jan 6, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.30Jan 6, 18:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".