Marvelous-Selfconfidence
0xde9514070e31a587f12a6c01bda067504a994032
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$5.47
Total PnL
$-12.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 30.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$1.00Jan 15, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Jan 7, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.04Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.06Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.09Jan 7, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.05Dec 12, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$53.36Dec 12, 06:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $121.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 08:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".