Nifty-Neologism
0xdea681eb13f1a87d8e170da2b6fed32a87b50b20
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$22.04
Total PnL
$-80.20
Realised
$22.94
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 55.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.55
$0.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.03
$-0.97
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok win the okbet trading competition?$0.00Mar 25, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.00Mar 25, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Mar 25, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$0.00Mar 25, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini win the okbet trading competition?$0.00Mar 25, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Mar 25, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$0.00Mar 25, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Mar 25, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of January 2026?$0.00Mar 25, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Mar 23, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$0.00Mar 23, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$0.00Mar 23, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$0.00Mar 23, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on January 22, 2026?$0.00Mar 23, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on January 23, 2026?$0.00Mar 23, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$0.00Mar 23, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Mar 23, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?$0.00Mar 23, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 11:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".