Untimely-Belfry
0xdea784658e690320ac664a368cab833da24244f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?
15 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in November?
15 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
15 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more?
14 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
12 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
12 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Groen win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?
10 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.01May 26, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.04May 26, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$0.05Apr 16, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.05Apr 12, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.01Mar 8, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?$0.01Mar 8, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.01Mar 8, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.13Mar 6, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$0.26Mar 6, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the N-VA win the most seats in the Belgian federal elections?$0.37Mar 6, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 14 days or more?$0.01Feb 3, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 2 days or more?$0.01Jan 31, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$0.01Jan 31, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in November?$0.01Dec 1, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?$0.01Nov 30, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?$0.01Nov 24, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%? $0.01Nov 6, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$0.01Nov 6, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$0.01Nov 6, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.10Nov 6, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 07:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".