Merry-Molecule
0xdea872da2c7476db8ff60433261ef6954e0b25a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$3.13
Total PnL
$-3.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$3.13
$2.13
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
3 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Franz Wagner win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Franz Wagner win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?$1.00Sep 5, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?$1.00Sep 5, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$0.00Jul 4, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$0.00May 18, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$0.00May 18, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$5.56May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?$2.00May 17, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$1.00May 17, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Eurovision 2025?$1.00May 17, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?$1.00May 7, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$0.00May 7, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?$0.00May 7, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?$8.06May 7, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$10.00May 1, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Obama" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?$0.00Apr 30, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Apr 29, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obama" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?$1.00Apr 28, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?$1.00Apr 24, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?$1.50Apr 24, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$1.00Apr 22, 13:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 16:30 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 5, 12:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.