Notable-Merchandise
0xdeaf6256822c276aeadfd6b451b700cc607d97bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$705.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$1.7K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$650.00
$-143.70
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
5000 shares @ 19.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$55.00
$-924.83
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?
45000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-88.65
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
24000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-162.14
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
20000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-87.06
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?
17524 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
15000 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
556 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?
469 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 26, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.