Compassionate-Sorghum
0xdeb1f759b481e8779a1c342074978ed6a60f055e
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$3.13
Total PnL
$-376.83
Realised
$-211.41
Win rate
2%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
3 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$3.13
$1.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
23 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-12.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
17 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
13 shares @ 56.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
12 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
11 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
11 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
10 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
9 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
9 shares @ 64.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.85
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$2.27Aug 19, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$3.11Aug 19, 05:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$3.49Aug 19, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.00Aug 19, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$8.00Aug 19, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$2.07Aug 19, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.17Aug 19, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.02Aug 19, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$2.07Aug 19, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$0.38Aug 19, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.03Aug 19, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.34Aug 19, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$3.03Aug 19, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.26Aug 19, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.02Aug 19, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.02Aug 19, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Mar 14, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$2.00Mar 14, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.27Mar 14, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.22Mar 14, 00:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 61 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
61 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 07:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 05:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.