Muted-Wagon
0xdebd8f9fdd442394cf808542b215320c54374671
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
11937 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-368.32
- YES
Will Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 28 - March 7?
5466 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-218.63
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?
5110 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-908.95
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 25-31?
2499 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-349.90
- YES
Will Elon tweet 435–449 times August 22–August 29?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in July?
1810 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-90.51
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $115K September 8–14?
1470 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-749.95
- YES
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 550–574 times August 8–August 15?
500 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 525–549 times August 8–August 15?
500 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$4.21May 27, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 25-31?$346.92May 26, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 25-31?$0.81May 26, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 25-31?$0.18May 26, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 25-31?$0.16May 26, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 25-31?$0.81May 26, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 25-31?$1.02May 26, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$409.14May 26, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$104.66May 26, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$98.63May 26, 05:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.30May 26, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.30May 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$54.67May 25, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$43.26May 25, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$43.26May 25, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$23.06May 25, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?$153.10May 25, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27?$208.96May 25, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$201.24May 25, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$204.56May 25, 11:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $62.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 02:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".