Spirited-Hail
0xdec10e8feca2e8ede4eefc7c286825f77556d355
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$7.50
Total PnL
$-348.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.50
$-1.50
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
5257 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
2733 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
2154 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?$6.00Jan 31, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?$6.00Jan 31, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$8.00Jan 31, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 31, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$10.00Jan 31, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 31, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Jan 31, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Jan 31, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$25.00Jan 31, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?$3.00Jan 25, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$20.00Jan 25, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$10.00Jan 25, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$9.00Jan 25, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 25, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 25, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Jan 25, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?$5.00Jan 25, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?$5.00Jan 25, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 25, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $11.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 23:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".