Watchful-Condition
0xdecde4fe68698f65dfead6ebb0b0d6bc86440aea
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$8.17
Total PnL
$-21.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
109 shares @ 9.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.40
$-5.60
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.77
$-6.23
- YES
Will Guglielmo Vicario record the most clean sheets in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
53 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.45May 8, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 20?$0.00Mar 30, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Chuck Norris" this week? (March 29)$0.00Mar 30, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?$3.49Mar 28, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guglielmo Vicario record the most clean sheets in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$10.00Mar 27, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?$10.00Mar 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $10.00Mar 27, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Chuck Norris" this week? (March 29)$8.90Mar 27, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 20?$10.00Mar 18, 19:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $8.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 19:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 18:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.