Fearful-Deliberation
0xded32d7b382c08f8385d8f4cf745d6fc428153b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$3.30
Total PnL
$-0.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJames Madison vs. Marshall$2.71Nov 8, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout be less than 36% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?$1.30Nov 8, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate win outright in Ireland’s first round?$1.31Nov 8, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout be less than 36% in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election?$1.30Oct 25, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate win outright in Ireland’s first round?$1.30Oct 25, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31?$1.33Oct 25, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMMissing Epstein cell footage released by August 31?$1.34Oct 25, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31?$1.30Aug 2, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMissing Epstein cell footage released by August 31?$1.30Aug 2, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMissing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?$1.20Aug 2, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLGhislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of being a criminal?$1.18Aug 2, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLMissing Epstein cell footage released by August 31?$1.21Aug 2, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMRays vs. Yankees$1.22Aug 2, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYGhislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of being a criminal?$1.20Jul 31, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMissing Epstein cell footage released by August 31?$1.20Jul 31, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRays vs. Yankees$1.20Jul 31, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US military action against Iran before August?$1.06Jul 31, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Khamenei talk in 2025? $1.35Jul 31, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMElon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?$1.27Jul 31, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump x Khamenei talk in 2025? $1.30Jul 1, 16:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 11:40 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.