Crowded-Deployment
0xded559aa9689eb5467c0c805c6961e29499ad9ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-29.01
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will 13-15 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
3595 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-171.22
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
2353 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-380.21
- YES
Will 10-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
2057 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-249.16
- YES
Will 19-21 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
1676 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-54.50
- YES
Will 7-9 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
1646 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-239.78
- YES
Will 16-18 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
1061 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-45.33
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1053 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-414.16
- YES
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?
1005 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-40.04
- YES
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?
1000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.30May 20, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$2.00May 19, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$60.63May 19, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$188.16May 19, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$47.21May 19, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$119.42May 19, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$244.37May 19, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$2.70May 19, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$84.00May 19, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$20.00May 19, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$0.87May 19, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$32.84May 19, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$28.02May 19, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$4.63May 4, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$9.58Apr 17, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?$120.00Jan 11, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$1.21Nov 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$0.07Nov 13, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$1.82Nov 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?$0.55Nov 13, 08:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $24.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".