Jumbo-Merchandise
0xded86d44223f61855bf40499518cffda26164306
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$7.17
Total PnL
$-16.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 31, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 19, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 16, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.05Jan 4, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.05Jan 4, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$2.07Jan 4, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?$1.01Dec 26, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 26, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.05Dec 26, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.04Dec 12, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 11, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.00Dec 4, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$500.00Dec 4, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$250.00Dec 4, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$250.00Dec 4, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$250.00Dec 4, 08:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $166.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 01:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 02:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".