Playful-Pail
0xdedcba225371c15fe82c100537073e5cde45a3a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$7.22
Total PnL
$-14.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
135 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.22
$-0.07
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2277 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2151 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2126 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2122 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2116 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2107 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
2104 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
2098 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2096 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.29Mar 19, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$7.30Mar 19, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$7.09Feb 5, 02:42 UTC
- REDEEMECB rate cut in 2025?$1.00Feb 5, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$1.02Feb 5, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMHalf-Life 3 released in 2025?$2.07Feb 5, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?$1.00Jan 8, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYECB rate cut in 2025?$1.00Dec 13, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYHalf-Life 3 released in 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.9KNov 29, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.9KNov 29, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$2.1KNov 29, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$2.1KNov 29, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$2.1KNov 29, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$18.82Nov 28, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.00Nov 28, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Nov 28, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$2.1KNov 28, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.0KNov 28, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$899.90Nov 28, 11:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $499.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 10:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 02:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".