Pleasant-Luncheonette
0xdee87bcb7ebc0bbee3380990b1218afd4d51b6d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-279.98
Realised
$-7.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
13165 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.33
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
7988 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-77.00
- YES
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
7000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
7000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?
2257 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
724 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.38
- YES
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
527 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
399 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
142 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift release a new original song by September 30?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.80Mar 3, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$10.00Mar 3, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.97Mar 3, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$14.00Mar 3, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$8.56Mar 3, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.14Mar 3, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.33Mar 3, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$7.87Mar 3, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$12.00Mar 2, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.73Mar 2, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.50Mar 2, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.50Mar 2, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 1, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.67Mar 1, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.07Mar 1, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$18.83Feb 22, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$37.14Feb 22, 14:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 22, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.94Feb 21, 22:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 21, 00:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $9.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 01:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".