Watchful-Warden
0xdeea6fdff8ab07819c1c5b6c7ae445b6bca3f1b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$158.69
Total PnL
$-46.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 24, 2026?
18 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$18.18
$17.09
- YES
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-01-31?
9 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$8.69
$7.65
- YES
Will Canada's annual inflation increase by ≥2.4% in December?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$8.33
$7.33
- YES
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-01-18?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$7.69
$6.69
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$6.45
$5.42
- YES
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-24?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$6.05
$5.08
- YES
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-20?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$5.71
$4.68
- YES
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-01-18?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$5.71
$4.68
- YES
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$5.71
$4.68
- YES
Will there be 5-7 inches of snow in D.C. this weekend?
6 shares @ 18.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$5.51
$4.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles Thieves win the Optic Texas Major?$0.69Jan 31, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FCSB vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc end in a draw?$0.01Jan 31, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FCSB vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc end in a draw?$0.96Jan 31, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Zlín win on 2026-02-01?$1.00Jan 31, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be less than 55%?$0.89Jan 31, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 60% and 62%?$1.00Jan 31, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 58% and 60%?$1.03Jan 31, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be less than 55%?$0.06Jan 31, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be less than 55%?$0.06Jan 31, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$0.69Jan 31, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$0.27Jan 31, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$0.90Jan 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$0.10Jan 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Universitario de Deportes vs. AD Tarma end in a draw?$0.56Jan 30, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$0.24Jan 30, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$0.19Jan 30, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Universitario de Deportes vs. AD Tarma end in a draw?$0.22Jan 30, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$0.57Jan 30, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$1.00Jan 30, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Universitario de Deportes vs. AD Tarma end in a draw?$0.22Jan 30, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 21:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".