0xdeec601961f3334c6efc00fd5b1e7136a50983e7
0xdeec601961f3334c6efc00fd5b1e7136a50983e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris drop out in September?
387 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 4?
234 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2024$0.00
$-3.62
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Paul Le Roux as Satoshi?
42 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-2.29
- NO
Kamala positive favorability by Friday?
32 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
25 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2024$0.00
$-18.46
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?$0.58Oct 18, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump sentenced to between 0 and 11 months prison time?$0.22Oct 18, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump sentenced to no prison time?$0.10Oct 18, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Paul Le Roux as Satoshi?$0.42Oct 5, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump sentenced to no prison time?$0.42Oct 5, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Paul Le Roux as Satoshi?$1.87Oct 5, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.25Oct 5, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?$1.62Oct 5, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris drop out in September?$1.16Sep 24, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.16Sep 24, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump lead in RCP on Oct 4?$3.62Sep 23, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$3.62Sep 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to between 0 and 11 months prison time?$1.00Sep 18, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala positive favorability by Friday?$3.00Sep 18, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to no prison time?$1.00Sep 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?$2.00Sep 18, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$5.00Sep 18, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamas lose power in Gaza before February?$2.46Jan 29, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamas lose power in Gaza before February?$16.00Jan 29, 02:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $2.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 02:51 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 18, 23:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.