International-Plea
0xdeee80d315539bafa2146b99f51f51bc3eb37c09
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-851.50
Realised
$-7.02
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or below on July 14?
900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 17?
880 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 7?
559 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.75
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 25?
512 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-13.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 19?
480 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on July 15?
300 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on June 24?
300 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-23.39
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on April 28?
213 shares @ 98.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-209.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 21?
180 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-26.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 22?
153 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 3?$5.00Aug 3, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 3?$5.00Aug 3, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 3?$5.00Aug 3, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 3?$4.95Aug 3, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 3?$4.95Aug 3, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 3?$4.94Aug 3, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 3?$0.01Aug 3, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 2?$5.00Aug 2, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on August 2?$5.00Aug 2, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on August 2?$4.95Aug 2, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 2?$5.00Aug 2, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 2?$4.94Aug 2, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 2?$0.01Aug 2, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 2?$4.95Aug 2, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 1?$5.03Aug 1, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 1?$5.00Aug 1, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on August 1?$10.04Aug 1, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 1?$5.00Aug 1, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 1?$4.95Aug 1, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 1?$4.95Aug 1, 01:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 10:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 21:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.