Stale-Machine
0xdef88e5071fbc028234ab7e6c1961b2fb62d9444
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-477.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 14?
1128 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-44.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 28?
1000 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 1?
500 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12PM ET
403 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 6?
385 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21?
317 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$19.91Apr 4, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$18.76Apr 4, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 3?$4.80Apr 3, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$5.00Apr 1, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.00Apr 1, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$6.25Apr 1, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$5.00Apr 1, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$7.11Apr 1, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$5.00Apr 1, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$2.31Apr 1, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$5.00Apr 1, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$10.78Apr 1, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$5.00Apr 1, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$3.35Apr 1, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$10.00Apr 1, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$12.59Apr 1, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$10.00Apr 1, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$29.32Apr 1, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$10.00Apr 1, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$10.00Apr 1, 14:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $8.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 05:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".