Fearful-Skiing
0xdef9bf12773d7c5d1c051b4af2015981500a7d89
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$159.64
Total PnL
$-524.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
1135 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$119.15
$-62.41
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
76 shares @ 69.5¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$40.49
$-12.12
- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
494 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?
285 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
161 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?
119 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
94 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
74 shares @ 67.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
66 shares @ 75.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$181.56Apr 1, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Third term" in March?$26.88Mar 31, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$96.82Mar 16, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$57.87Mar 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$52.61Mar 2, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$50.00Mar 2, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$50.00Mar 2, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Third term" in March?$200.00Mar 2, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$352.61Feb 28, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$144.57Feb 1, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$100.00Jan 31, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$50.00Jan 31, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)$122.73Jan 28, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$50.00Jan 27, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$50.00Jan 27, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$50.00Jan 27, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?$60.51Jan 26, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Portugal" or "Portuguese" this week? (January 25)$114.77Jan 26, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?$50.00Jan 25, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$50.00Jan 25, 16:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $70.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 10:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 20:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".