Unacceptable-Halt
0xdefa10cb140b8369bae0ba613a8ee128e1fefa0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-138.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
520 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.50 on November 25?
516 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 13?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
131 shares @ 95.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-124.70
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 9.5m?
11 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
9 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 4?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 4?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$125.00Apr 14, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$124.24Apr 14, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$124.00Apr 12, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$124.12Apr 12, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$124.00Apr 6, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$124.12Apr 6, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$124.00Apr 2, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$1.35Apr 2, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?$1.54Apr 2, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$20.08Apr 2, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$40.04Apr 2, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$61.24Apr 2, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$20.00Mar 30, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$40.00Mar 30, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$61.00Mar 30, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?$1.10Mar 30, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026?$120.12Mar 30, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?$1.00Mar 26, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?$1.50Mar 26, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$1.30Mar 26, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $61.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 02:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 06:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".