Complex-Underweight
0xdefb6235498f2fd39075dae6a6bb96f92365859c
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$19.27
Total PnL
$-35.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Solana reach $350 in October?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Glenn Close win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump visit China by October 31?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?$1.00Nov 22, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Nov 3, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4800 in October?$1.00Oct 30, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$2.02Oct 30, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 29, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 28, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be greater than $280 on October 13?$1.00Oct 28, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.70 October 6-12?$1.00Oct 28, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $250 on October 13?$1.00Oct 28, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $122,000 and $124,000 on October 14?$1.00Oct 28, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.60 and $2.70 on October 12?$1.00Oct 28, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 13?$1.01Oct 28, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.90 on October 13?$1.01Oct 28, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Ruin The Friendship' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?$1.01Oct 28, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Stefanski be the next coach fired?$1.01Oct 28, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?$1.00Oct 27, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$7.8KOct 12, 09:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $495.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 03:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".