Thorny-Partnership
0xdf00ed0ed3016b191ab3920e87ab586b692b6767
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
102
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$17.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 102- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
13881 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-66.59
- YES
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
7932 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?
3000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-210.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?
2863 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-544.79
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
1190 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?
1007 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
906 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
903 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-155.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$103.45Mar 31, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$72.80Mar 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$60.67Mar 16, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$70.00Mar 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Alonso achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$2.00Mar 8, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$10.00Mar 8, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$10.00Mar 8, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$576.92Mar 5, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$20.00Mar 3, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$30.00Mar 3, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$70.00Mar 3, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?$50.00Mar 2, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$300.00Feb 28, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$137.42Feb 23, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?$147.06Feb 23, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?$25.00Feb 22, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?$50.00Feb 22, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$50.66Feb 22, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 22, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$9.34Feb 22, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $62.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 13:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 14:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".