Smug-Crowd
0xdf02de5025f63479b0ef4d5bb4b850be6b4f9528
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-276.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
219 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2021$0.00
$-106.54
- YES
Will LaMelo Ball be the first pick in the 2020 NBA draft?
151 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2020$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will $BTC break $20k before Thanksgiving?
114 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2020$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021?
93 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2021$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021?
56 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2021$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?$39.11Nov 10, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new Supreme Court Justice be confirmed before Nov 3rd, 2020?$0.00Nov 4, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 18:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".