Shocked-Magnitude
0xdf06f3e54ed7dab674a7d17270f56644ea588055
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$10.05
Total PnL
$-24.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$4.20
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.05
$-1.35
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
35 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.52
- YES
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?
20 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-6.60
- NO
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.30
- CHINA
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?
10 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$5.80Apr 7, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.40Mar 27, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.84Mar 11, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.28Feb 22, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$10.00Feb 22, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 13, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.12Feb 13, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.14Feb 13, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$2.40Feb 13, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.00Feb 11, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$4.99Feb 2, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.00Jan 29, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan$2.50Jan 24, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$7.40Jan 9, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?$7.30Jan 9, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$4.00Dec 17, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.36Dec 12, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.40Dec 12, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.12Dec 12, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$3.80Dec 11, 02:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 07:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 08:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.