Gaseous-Mankind
0xdf0810107d35335b2bacc0682180e0f24889d24a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.1K
Realised
$397.71
Win rate
49%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 7PM ET
679 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-205.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
638 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-74.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
454 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-29.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
454 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
453 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-43.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
451 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-75.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
450 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-66.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
445 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-19.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
443 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-80.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
443 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-84.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.09Jul 3, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$0.81Jul 3, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.00Jul 3, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.11Jul 3, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.55Jul 3, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.41Jul 3, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.16Jul 3, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.03Jul 3, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$3.04Jul 3, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.20Jul 3, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.41Jul 3, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.11Jul 3, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.11Jul 3, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.11Jul 3, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$4.05Jul 3, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$4.00Jul 3, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$2.24Jul 3, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$2.59Jul 3, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$2.71Jul 3, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$2.71Jul 3, 01:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
49% win rate over 81 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
81 closed markets, 49% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 01:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.